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External project

IPL CRUNCH '26: A Ball-by-Ball Data Analytics Report

V Sachien Nataraajan

Overview

To conduct a data-driven investigation into historical and modern IPL delivery records in order to determine whether traditional strategic biases, such as the perceived match-winning advantage of the coin toss, hold statistical validity, and to identify the specific match phases and elite player performances that dictate overall team success in the T20 format. Process Data-Driven workflow executed in Jupyter Notebook using Pandas, Matplotlib, and Seaborn: Exploratory Data Analysis: Profiled over 289,000 ball-by-ball IPL records using Pandas to verify data types, check dataset structure, and map missing values. Hypothesis Testing: Analyzed the correlation between winning the coin toss and match outcomes to expose "The Toss Myth," comparing tactical decisions vs. a true 50-50 win reality. Phase Impact Aggregation: Isolated the Powerplay, Middle, and Death overs to compute true run-rate (RPO) splits and run gaps. Data Visualization: Engineered polished, custom dark-themed charts using Seaborn and Matplotlib for deployment. Results Toss Advantage: 51.55% (Statistical Illusion) Chasing (Fielding First) Success: 54.70% Win Rate Defending (Batting First) Success: 45.43% Win Rate Middle Overs Margin: +7.78 Run Gap (Highest of all phases) Winning Death Over Tempo: 11.27 Runs Per Over (RPO) 2022-2026 Batting Leader: Shubman Gill (2,827 runs) 2022-2026 Bowling Leader: Yuzvendra Chahal (90 wickets) Reflection What I would do differently: Integrate External Factors: I would merge the ball-by-ball dataset with external parameters such as stadium dimensions, pitch types (dry, green, dusty), weather conditions, and dew factors to see how much they heavily skew the "toss decision" advantage.